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Estimating critical care capacity needs and gaps in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic
2020-06-04
health systems and quality improvement
Title + abstract only
View on medRxiv
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ObjectiveThe purpose of this analysis was to describe national critical care capacity shortages for 52 African countries and to outline needs for each country to adequately respond to the COVID-19 pandemic. MethodsA modified SECIR compartment model was used to estimate the number of severe COVID-19 cases at the peak of the outbreak. Projections of the number of hospital beds, ICU beds, and ventilators needed at outbreak peak were generated for four scenarios - if 30, 50, 70, or 100% of patients...
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