Back
A poor-man's approach to the effective reproduction number: the COVID-19 case
Menendez, J.
2020-04-27
epidemiology
10.1101/2020.04.22.20076430
medRxiv
Show abstract
It is shown that estimates of the effective reproduction number Rt for COVID-19 using standard packages such as EO_SCPLOWPIC_SCPLOWEO_SCPLOWSTIMC_SCPLOW can be reproduced very accurately using the expression Rt = c(t)/c(t -{tau} ), where c(t) is the incidence at time t and{tau} the mean value of the series interval.
Matching journals
●Non-profit
◐University press
○Commercial
The top 7 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
1
PLOS ONE
●
5266 papers in training set
Top 7%
22.8%
Similar papers in this journal
- Adding a reaction-restoration type transmission rate dynamic law to the basic SEIR COVID-19 model 96%
- Prediction of Covid-19 spreading and optimal coordination of counter-measures: From microscopic to macroscopic models to Pareto fronts 95%
- A note on variable susceptibility, the herd-immunity threshold and modeling of infectious diseases 95%
3
Mathematical Biosciences
○
49 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
5.6%
Similar papers in this journal
- Post-pandemic modeling of COVID-19: Waning immunity determines recurrence frequency 96%
- Lockdown Measures and their Impact on Single- and Two-age-structured Epidemic Model for the COVID-19 Outbreak in Mexico 95%
- On the design and stability of cancer adaptive therapy cycles: deterministic and stochastic models 95%
4
Infectious Disease Modelling
○
54 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
5.6%
Similar papers in this journal
50% of probability mass above
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.