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Estimate of COVID-19 case prevalence in India based on surveillance data of patients with severe acute respiratory illness

Venkatesan, P.

2020-04-17 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.04.14.20065342 medRxiv
Show abstract

In absence of extensive testing for SARS-CoV-2, true prevalence of COVID-19 cases in India remain unknown. In this study, a conservative estimate of prevalence of COVID-19 is calculated based on the age wise COVID-19 positivity rate among patients with severe respiratory illness as reported by Indian Council of Medical Research. Calculations in the study estimates a cumulative number of 17151 COVID-19 positive cases by the end of April 2, 2020.

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