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Prediction of the Epidemic of COVID-19 Based on Quarantined Surveillance in China
2020-02-29
public and global health
Title + abstract only
View on medRxiv
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Backgroud and ObjectiveTo predict the epidemic of COVID-19 based on quarantined surveillance from real world in China by modified SEIR model different from the previous simply mathematical model. Design and MethodsWe forecasted the epidemic of COVID-19 based on current clinical and epidemiological data and built a modified SEIR model to consider both the infectivity during incubation period and the influence on the epidemic from strict quarantined measures. ResultsThe peak time of the curve fo...
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