Origin time and epidemic dynamics of the 2019 novel coronavirus
Zhang, C.; Wang, M.
Show abstract
The 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) have emerged from Wuhan, China. Studying the epidemic dynamics is crucial for further surveillance and control of the outbreak. We employed a Bayesian framework to infer the time-calibrated phylogeny and the epidemic dynamics represented by the effective reproductive number (Re) changing over time from 33 genomic sequences available from GISAID. The time of the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) was December 17, 2019 (95% HPD: December 7, 2019 - December 23, 2019). The median estimate of Re shifted from 1.6 to 1.1 on around January 1, 2020. This study provides an early insight of the 2019-nCoV epidemic. However, due to limited amount of data, one should be cautious when interpreting the results at this stage.
Matching journals
The top 1 journal accounts for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- An advanced sequence clustering and designation workflow reveals the enzootic maintenance of a dominant West Nile virus subclade in Germany 95%
- The whole genome analysis of four Orf virus strains from Europe and South America. 94%
- Begomovirus species demarcation based on genome-sequence identity often yields non-monophyletic species: A case study of sweet potato-infecting begomoviruses 94%
Similar papers in this journal
- Comparative Genomics and Environmental Distribution of Large dsDNA viruses in the family Asfarviridae 95%
- Positive selection of ORF3a and ORF8 genes drives the evolution of SARS-CoV-2 during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic 94%
- Discovery of viral myosin genes with complex evolutionary history within plankton 94%
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- Recent zoonotic spillover and tropism shift of a Canine Coronavirus is associated with relaxed selection and putative loss of function in NTD subdomain of spike protein. 95%
- Bioinformatic Surveillance Leads to Discovery of Two Novel Putative Bunyaviruses Associated with Black Soldier Fly 94%
- Enhanced genome annotation strategy provides novel insights on the phylogeny of Flaviviridae 94%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.